Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 631.383407 707.922402 792.776806 894.316731 1013.160833 1148.636241 1315.873175
2025-02-16 510.217210 610.321187 731.117693 889.581042 1094.935008 1356.264671 1720.961560
2025-02-23 453.250746 566.039468 710.177039 911.826506 1193.206372 1582.362178 2180.923535
2025-03-02 414.454484 535.472846 697.376050 936.138328 1290.722875 1817.942805 2703.473704
2025-03-09 379.897008 504.490244 677.530423 944.183326 1361.824679 2023.552627 3227.663494
2025-03-16 348.032110 472.754996 651.447675 937.241845 1405.894141 2191.382773 3729.139149
2025-03-23 327.332283 454.298400 641.701659 952.458858 1485.751099 2431.969802 4431.563063
2025-03-30 299.581745 422.501145 608.030972 924.258733 1486.358484 2529.554189 4875.349543
2025-04-06 276.277706 395.267031 578.514707 898.770586 1486.804800 2625.204750 5342.910785
2025-04-13 255.050726 369.461294 548.769917 869.114297 1474.544195 2692.253535 5764.936640
2025-04-20 247.197451 363.956754 551.210868 895.685739 1572.565370 3007.271727 6921.960202
2025-04-27 236.828528 353.507909 544.327486 904.290069 1635.993064 3260.846413 8023.591144
2025-05-04 226.303776 342.455239 536.172940 911.027741 1700.023940 3539.720979 9366.002118
2025-05-11 214.615587 328.684645 522.239791 905.352801 1737.438219 3766.444467 10680.339284
2025-05-18 208.285249 323.450876 522.832053 928.125289 1841.958268 4195.043256 12986.948058
2025-05-25 202.717387 319.057355 524.440947 952.997682 1956.025737 4686.194631 15932.413912
2025-06-01 195.375645 310.991042 518.488824 961.229240 2031.465404 5090.999173 18874.542229
2025-06-08 186.726043 300.002457 506.098724 954.126769 2067.126944 5386.150024 21580.716852
2025-06-15 181.422624 294.695349 504.142162 969.697145 2165.004750 5919.526435 26202.630960
2025-06-22 171.519722 280.361515 483.489897 940.843466 2137.922306 6015.770988 28315.974807
2025-06-29 162.648296 267.464021 464.830596 914.769511 2114.736853 6121.954566 30669.261048
2025-07-06 153.945118 254.444298 445.120104 884.437592 2075.097018 6157.607127 32611.838608
2025-07-13 151.674174 253.393193 449.493712 911.614083 2208.177973 6917.849278 41582.586678